Yonas Biru, PhD
Since Fano took the Amhara tribal land by storm, I have written several articles with four messages.
First, how the Fanno uprising is managed will determine whether the movement will set the nation on the path of peace and security or push it toward an irreversible tipping point. It is critical to realize that every successful military endeavor requires a political organ that guides and constraints it. In this regard, creating a dynamic political architecture with a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is critical. It is critical because it will serve as a platform to narrow differences, regulate its operations, and marry the military and political spheres.
Second, unless a well-structured political platform with a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is established, two potential problems will threaten Fano. The most threatening problem is that political differences will lead to armed conflicts that may, in turn, lead to the emergence of regional warlords carving out Gonder, Gojam, Wello and Shewa as their domains of influence. Another equally serious threat is a civil war between Amhara and Oromo.
Third, Amhara extremist groups pose the most serious threat to Fano. They carry the seeds for warlordism within Amhara and civil war across tribal lands. I addressed this issue in a published article, stating: “The Fano that Shaleka Dawit represents is active politically and internationally but does not have a firepower on the battle ground. To a small degree, this group is aided by Engineer Yilkal Getnet who is doing the bidding for a Fano faction that is politically active but lacks a frontline combat capability. The Shaleka and Yilkal camps have created unhealthy power struggle that is doing more harm to the Fano uprising than Abiy’s military.”
Fourth, the so-called “Concerned Amharas” diaspora group that is a stealth extremist Amhara group in the diaspora is undermining the Fano movement. The group has a website and has been imposturing as a neutral arbitrator to bring peace between Fano forces. The group does not reveal the people behind it. There is no name, no description of how the group was constituted, no information who is leading it, and no shred of accountability.
Anybody who knows anything about anything related to a robust political analysis could have seen the divorce between Fano’s military and political spheres was bound to lead to irreconcilable conflicts. That is exactly what happened.
In recent days, the Gojam Command Fano (የጎጃም እዝ ፋኖ) and Fano Unity Council (የፋኖ አንድነት ምክር ቤት) issued independent Press Releases accusing Eskinder’s Amhara Popular Front (አማራ ህዝባዊ ግንባር) and Zemene’s Amhara People’s Force (አማራ ህዝባዊ ሃይል) to behave or get out of Gojam. የጎጃም እዝ ፋኖ and የፋኖ አንድነት ምክር ቤት are by far the two most powerful Fanos. The Eskinder/Dawit and Zemene groups have virtually no presence on the battlefield. This is a fact. The following are excerpts from recent independent press releases.
“ሻለቃ ዳዊት በፈጠሩት ረብሻ ምክንያት አሁን በየ ብርጌዱ ማኒፌስቶ እየተጻፈ አዳዲስ መሪዎች ነን የሚሉ ብቅ ብቅ እንዲሉ በር እየከፈተ ነው። ምንድነው ሲባሉ ትግላችንን ሊቀሙን ነው የሚል ስጋት ነው። አሁን ትግሉን አቁመን ሽማግሌ በመላክና መምከሩ የሙሉ ግዜ ስራ እየሆነ ነው።
ለተለያዩ አካባቢዎች ምሳሌ የሆነውን “የጎጃም እዝ ፋኖ” ለማፍረስ እና የራስን ሃይል ለማደራጀት በአማራ ህዝባዊ ሃይልም ሆነ በአማራ ህዝባዊ ግንባር ስም የምትንቀሳቀሱ ግለሰቦች ከድርጊታችሁ እንድትቆጠቡ እያሳሰብን ለትግሉ ፈር ቀዳጅ ስለነበራችሁና ለከፈላችሁት ዋጋ ስለምናከብራችሁ በባለፈው መግለጫችን ለምንጠይቃችሁ ጥያቄ ምላሽ እንድትሰጡን እና በአሰላለፋ አንድ ሆናችሁ በእዙ መዋቅር በመግባት እንድታታግሉን ስንል ጥሪ ማድረጋችን ይታወቃል።
ነገር ግን ጥሪዎችን ተቀብሎ የተደረጉ ውይይቶች ደካማ መሆናቸውና እንደተቋም በቂ ውይይት ባለመደረጉ ለመጨረሻ ጊዜ በቅርብ ቀን ጥሪያችንን አክብራችሁ ተገኝታችሁ ጥያቄዎቻችንን እንድትመልሱልን እያሳሰብን ይህን ማድረግ ካልቻላችሁ በጎጃም እዝ የትእዛዝ ሰንሰለት ውስጥ ማንኛውም አካል እንደልቡ ልዩነቶችን እያሰፋ አደረጃጀት መያዝም ሆነ መንቀሳቀስ የማይቻል መሆኑን በጥብቅ እናሳስባለን።
The conflict will continue and pick up depth and breadth until Fano realizes a well-structured political platform with a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is established, and its military and political spheres are wedded. The most the diaspora can do is help in developing a robust manifesto in a transparent manner. If it cannot do this, the second-best thing it can do is to shut up.
All else is a cruel hermitization, idiotization, and satirization of an already hermitized, idiotized, and satirized Amhara politics.
በማወቅም ይሁን በስህተት ካጠፋሁ ይቅርታ