Yonas Biru, PhD
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Since Fano took the Amhara tribal land by storm, I have written several articles with four messages.
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First,Β how the Fanno uprising is managed will determine whether the movement will set the nation on the path of peace and security or push it toward an irreversible tipping point.Β It is critical to realize that every successful military endeavor requires a political organ that guides and constraints it. In this regard, creating a dynamic political architecture with a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is critical. It is critical because it will serve as a platform to narrow differences, regulate its operations, and marry the military and political spheres.
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Second,Β unless a well-structured political platform withΒ a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is established, two potential problems will threaten Fano. The most threatening problem is that political differences will lead to armed conflicts that may, in turn, lead to the emergence of regional warlords carving out Gonder, Gojam, Wello and Shewa as their domains of influence. Another equally serious threat is a civil war between Amhara and Oromo.
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Third,Β Amhara extremist groups pose the most serious threat to Fano. They carry the seeds for warlordism within Amhara and civil war across tribal lands. I addressed this issue in a published article, stating:Β βThe Fano that Shaleka Dawit represents is active politically and internationally but does not have a firepower on the battle ground. To a small degree, this group is aided by Engineer Yilkal Getnet who is doing the bidding for a Fano faction that is politically active but lacks a frontline combat capability. The Shaleka and Yilkal camps have created unhealthy power struggle that is doing more harm to the Fano uprising than Abiyβs military.β
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Fourth,Β the so-called βConcerned Amharasβ diaspora group that is a stealth extremist Amhara group in the diaspora is undermining the Fano movement. The group has a website and has been imposturing as a neutral arbitrator to bring peace between Fano forces. The group does not reveal the people behind it. There is no name, no description of how the group was constituted, no information who is leading it, and no shred of accountability.
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Anybody who knows anything about anything related to a robust political analysis could have seen the divorce between Fanoβs military and political spheres was bound to lead to irreconcilable conflicts. That is exactly what happened.
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In recent days, the Gojam Command Fano (α¨αααΒ α₯αΒ αα) and Fano Unity Council (α¨ααΒ α αα΅αα΅Β αααΒ α€α΅) issued independent Press Releases accusing Eskinder’s Amhara Popular Front (α αα«Β α
αα£αΒ ααα£α) and Zemene’s Amhara People’s Force (α αα«Β α
αα£αΒ ααα) to behave or get out of Gojam.Β α¨αααΒ α₯αΒ ααΒ andΒ α¨ααΒ α αα΅αα΅Β αααΒ α€α΅Β are by far the two most powerful Fanos. The Eskinder/Dawit and Zemene groups have virtually no presence on the battlefield. This is a fact. The following are excerpts from recent independent press releases.
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“α»ααΒ α³αα΅Β α αα α©α΅Β α¨α₯α»Β αααα«α΅Β α ααΒ α α¨Β α₯ααα±Β αααα΅αΆΒ α₯α¨α°α»αΒ α α³α²α΅Β ααͺαα½Β ααΒ α¨ααΒ α₯α
Β α₯α
Β α₯αα²αΒ α αΒ α₯α¨α¨αα°Β ααα’Β ααα΅ααΒ α²α£αΒ α΅ααα½ααΒ ααααΒ ααΒ α¨ααΒ α΅αα΅Β ααα’Β α ααΒ α΅αααΒ α αααΒ α½αααΒ α ααααΒ ααα¨α©Β α¨ααΒ ααΒ α΅α«Β α₯α¨ααΒ ααα’
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αα°αα«α©Β α α«α£α’αα½Β αα³αΒ α¨ααααΒ βα¨αααΒ α₯αΒ ααβΒ αααα¨α΅Β α₯αΒ α¨α«α΅αΒ αααΒ ααα°α«αα΅Β α α αα«Β α
αα£αΒ ααααΒ ααΒ α α αα«Β α
αα£αΒ ααα£αΒ α΅αΒ α¨αα΅ααα³αα±Β ααα°α¦α½Β α¨α΅ααα³α½αΒ α₯αα΅α΅αα α‘Β α₯α«α³α°α₯αΒ αα΅ααΒ ααΒ αα³α
Β α΅ααα α«α½ααΒ αα¨ααα½αα΅Β ααΒ α΅αααα¨α₯α«α½αΒ α α£αααΒ αααα«α½αΒ αααα ααα½αΒ α₯α«αΒ ααα½Β α₯αα΅α΅α°α‘αΒ α₯αΒ α α α°αααΒ α αα΅Β ααα½αΒ α α₯αΒ ααα
αΒ α ααα£α΅Β α₯αα΅α³α³αααΒ α΅ααΒ α₯αͺΒ αα΅α¨αα½αΒ αα³αααα’
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αααΒ ααΒ α₯αͺαα½αΒ α°αα₯αΒ α¨α°α°α¨αΒ ααααΆα½Β α°α«αΒ ααααΈααΒ α₯αα°α°ααΒ α αΒ αααα΅Β α£ααα°α¨αΒ ααα¨α¨α»Β ααΒ α α
αα₯Β ααΒ α₯αͺα«α½ααΒ α αα₯α«α½αΒ α°ααα³α½αΒ α₯α«ααα»α½ααΒ α₯αα΅α΅ααα±ααΒ α₯α«α³α°α₯αΒ αα
αΒ αα΅α¨αΒ α«αα»αα½αΒ α αααΒ α₯αΒ α¨α΅α₯ααΒ α°αα°αα΅Β αα΅α₯Β αααααΒ α α«αΒ α₯αα°αα‘Β αα©ααΆα½αΒ α₯α«α°αΒ α α°α¨ααα΅Β αα«ααΒ ααΒ αααα³αα΅Β α¨ααα»αΒ ααααΒ α α₯α₯α
Β α₯αα³α΅α£ααα’
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The conflict will continue and pick up depth and breadth until Fano realizesΒ a well-structured political platform withΒ a robust agenda, dynamic strategy, adoptive roadmap, and a clear and viable endgame is established, and its military and political spheres are wedded. The most the diaspora can do is help in developing a robust manifesto in a transparent manner. If it cannot do this, the second-best thing it can do is to shut up.
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All else is a cruel hermitization, idiotization, and satirization of an already hermitized, idiotized, and satirized Amhara politics.
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α ααα
α ααα α α΅α
α°α΅ α«α αα αα
αα³