Al Mariam’s Commentarie
Agust 3, 2021
… We Ethiopians have always been free. We will continue to be free. We may be poor today. Tomorrow, we shall prosper and become the crown jewel of Africa. We will set an example for the world. We shall teach these hubristic juveniles what it means to be an Ethiopian… Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, May 15, 2021
On the eve of her visit to Ethiopia, Samantha Power, USAID chief, all but declared war on Ethiopia.
Power boldly declared, “All options are on the table because 900 thousand people are on the verge of famine in Tigray.”
“All options are on the table” is diplomatic code phrase for war.
It is a dire situation if ever there was one with a combination of systematic sexual violence, mass atrocities and the denial of food as a weapon of war. That is what we are talking about here. So to your question, every option is on the table because our estimates are 900,000 people in Tigray are at the risk of famine. That is not something we see lightly or our international partners see lightly. The “F” word (famine) is a big deal and with the Ethiopian government’s withdrawal of its forces from Ethiopia (sic!) is declaration as they put it unilateral ceasefire and basically with the Tigreans taking back over security for the province what you have seen since that announcement roughly 2 weeks ago is bridges being destroyed, convoys being delayed, telecommunications equipment being confiscated. You know all this. So the short answer is the challenges is the same Ethiopian government that is denying road access we need them to grant road access we need to get them to grant both road access where we can get in way more food and air access. And the question of airdrops arises which is something absolutely we may have to be in a position to… (interrupted by interviewer)…
Talking about the “F” word, in my June 4, 2021 commentary, “EXPOSED: THE WESTERN CONSPIRACY TO WEAPONIZE FAMINE FOR REGIME CHANGE IN ETHIOPIA”, I demonstrated how the West, including the U.S. commodified famine to stoke the emotions of white people in America and Europe and excite outrage among them so that they demand action against Ethiopia in 1984.
Interestingly, in his May 26, 2021 Statement Biden parroted Power’s words, “The large-scale human rights abuses taking place in Tigray, including widespread sexual violence, are unacceptable and must end…”
On April 7, 2021, Egyptian President Abdel F. El Sisi talking about the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam said, “I tell our Ethiopian brothers: we should not reach the level that you mess with a water drop in Egypt, because all options are open.”
Is there any doubt what El Sisi meant by “all options are open”?
Could there be any doubt what the GODDESS OF WAR Samantha Power means when she says, “all options are open”?
El Sisi plans a water war over the Nile.
Power plans a “humanitarian intervention” war over Tigray.
Sun Tzu taught, “If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.”
I say, “It is not the size of the dog in the fight that determines the outcome but size of the fight in the underdog.”
Ethiopia today is the underdog standing up against the AXIS OF BIG DOGS (and their lap dogs Egypt and Sudan) consisting of the Rice-Biden administration, the European Union and NATO as they declare and prosecute economic, political, diplomatic wars and spread rumors of war on Ethiopia!
My near perfect prediction (prophesy) on the Rice-Biden administration’s policy in Ethiopia
I have been writing and predicting with a high degree of accuracy what the Rice-Biden administration (coordinating with European Union) will do four days after the inauguration of Joe Biden. See my commentaries on the “Five Pillars of U.S. Policy in Ethiopia” at almariam.com beginning with my commentary, “ Speaking Truth to President Joe Biden: Undeclare the Diplomatic War Your Secretary of State Anthony Blinken Declared on Ethiopia! (Part I)”
On May 10, 2021, I predicted “Susan Rice’s “May Surprise” Dirty Trick: Impose Sanctions on Ethiopia!” The sanctions, I argued, would be imposed with the calculation of undermining and discrediting the June 5, 2021 Ethiopian parliamentary elections, later moved up to June 21.
On May 23, 2021, the U.S. State Department announced visa sanctions on Ethiopia.
On May 17, 2021, I predicted a SECOND Susan Rice May Surprise in the form of a U.S. Declaration that there is genocide in Tigray.
On May 17, 2021, the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, at the direction of Susan Rice, scheduled a “Closed” session (secret meeting) on “Challenges and Opportunities for the United States in the Horn of Africa”.
On May 27, 2021, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and got assurances from the State Department a genocide declaration in Tigray will be issued soon.
The so-called genocide report has been prepared and I expect it will be released shortly after Samantha Power returns from her Sudan and Ethiopia visit.
The Rice-Biden administration has completed setting the stage for a full-scale, drag down, no holds barred “humanitarian intervention” economic, political and air war on Ethiopia
Genocide declaration to justify an air war on Ethiopia
The Rice-Biden administration in the coming weeks will declare genocide in Ethiopia.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee (SFRC) and the House Foreign Relations Committee (HFRC) have been building a genocide narrative for sometime now.
On May 26, 2021, in a joint op-ed, SFRC chair Senator Bob Mendez and HFRC chair Representative Gregory Meeks all but declared genocide in Tigray region of Ethiopia accusing the Ethiopian Government of “coordinated campaign of destruction that could amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity.”
Nearly seven months into the conflict, the human cost continues to grow. Thousands of civilians have been injured or killed and there are increasing reports of extra-judicial killings, massacres, sexual and gender-based violence, forced displacement, and other human rights violations.
Children are falling prey to exploitation and detention. Health centres, schools, universities, and refugee camps have been looted or destroyed. Food systems – historically fragile in this corner of Africa – have been so badly disrupted that famine looms large.
This carnage can no longer be explained away as an inadvertent byproduct of war. What we are seeing appears to be systematic and intentional, part and parcel of a coordinated campaign of destruction that could amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity. (Italics added.)
It is important to keep things in historical perspective considering how Samantha Power orchestrated the war on Syria and Libya!
In the case of Syria, Power said:
says she was so eager to order US strikes that she opposed asking Congress to authorize them, fearing permission would be refused. In the case of Libya, where intervention unquestionably deepened a humanitarian catastrophe, Power praised the United States for ‘[helping] orchestrate the fastest and broadest international response to an impending human rights crisis in history.’
As for the barbarous results of this response, she essentially pleads ignorance: “Whatever our sincerity, we could hardly expect to have a crystal ball when it came to accurately predicting outcomes in places where the culture was not our own.” The similarity to non-apologies from Iraq War defenders is striking, to say the least.
But Susan Rice and Samantha Power have done their homework with Congress with respect to Ethiopia.
They expect no opposition, and indeed massive support, from Congress by conducting an air war on Ethiopia.
On May 19, 2021, the U.S. senate passed S. Res. 97 setting up the stage for a forthcoming genocide declaration.
H Res 445, sponsored by two African American members of Congress, Representatives Gregory Meeks and Karen Bass (“Et tu Brutus”, wrote Shakespeare in Julius Caesar), is pending in the House and will be the precursor to a declaration of genocide in Tigray.
In my March 18, 2021 commentary entitled, “The Americans are Coming! The Americans are Coming!”: Imposing Susan Rice’s Imperial Pax Americana on Ethiopia and Eritrea”, I predicted the Rice-Biden administration will use one or more of the following strategies to wage war on Ethiopia:
Order airstrikes on Ethiopia and Eritrea from an aircraft carrier in the Fifth Fleet based in Bahrain.
Give a nod and a wink to the Egyptians to carry out proxy airstrikes.
Coordinate with Egypt and Sudan to carry out a land invasion on Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Use the Trojan Horse of humanitarian aid organizations to supply weapons to TPLF terrorists in Tigray.
Organize a new TPLF terrorist army by recruiting young Tigreans “refugees” in Sudan.
The foregoing options are now becoming self-evident.
Power has already clearly indicated what the U.S. and European Union want to do.
Every option is on the table because our estimates are 900,000 people in Tigray are at the risk of famine. That is not something we see lightly or our international partners see lightly. The “F” word (famine) is a big deal. We need them to grant both road access where we can get in way more food and airdrop… (See video and transcript above)
The sure-to-come U.S., E.U. and NATO air war on Ethiopia
LET ME MAKE ONE THING PERFECTLY CLEAR ABOUT THE AIR WAR TO BE WAGED AGINST ETHIOPIA BY THE U.S., E.U. AND VERY LIKELY NATO!
(I argue NATO will also be involved in an air war against Ethiopia because Lord (Tariq) Ahmad of Wimbledon on June 3, 2021, tweeted:
Conflict-related sexual violence is abhorrent and unacceptable in our world. This week, UK and NATO ministers agreed powerful action to stand up to these brutal crimes and ensure we can protect and support victims and survivors today and in the future.”)
INCONTROVERTIBLE FACTS ABOUT THE U.S., E.U. AND NATO AIR WAR ON ETHIOPIA
The U.S., E.U. and NATO air war on Ethiopia is NOT about
CONCERN FOR HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS, GENOCIDE, WAR CRIMES, FAMINE, ETC. IN TIGRAY.
IT IS ABOUT REGIME CHANGE AND RESTORATION OF THE TPLF TO POWER IN ETHIOPIA!
IT IS ABOUT MAKING ETHIOPIA THE GRAVEYARD OF CHINA IN AFRICA.
IT IS ABOUT PREVENTING RUSSIA AND TURKEY FROM GETTING A FOOTHOLD IN ETHIOPIA AND THE HORN OF AFRICA REGION.
THAT IS WHAT IT IS ALL ABOUT, LIKE IT OR NOT. AGREE OR NOT.
What may be expected?
1. I expect the U.S. and E.U. and NATO will undertake an air war in Ethiopia similar to Operation Deliberate Force during the Bosnian War.
2. I expect the air war to start before September 30, 2021, the last day of the current Ethiopian governemnt. The U.S. and E.U. and NATO will do whatever they can to prevent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed from officially taking office on October 1, 2021 following an election certified “free and fair” by the African Union. THEY WILL FAIL!
4. I expect the U.S.-E.U. and NATO to coordinate air attacks on Ethiopian positions in Tigray from bases in the Sudan using Egyptian assets. It is also likely they could use the Fifth Fleet which has been patrolling the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Arabian Sea, and parts of the Indian Ocean since 1995.
On June 5, 2020 (mind you 2020), I wrote a commentary asking, “Is Egypt Secretly Planning a Proxy War on Ethiopia?”
I concluded by arguing, “Egypt wants to use a weak Sudan to fight its dirty proxy war against Ethiopia to control the Nile.”
On March 2, 2021, nine months after I posed my question, Sudan and Egypt concluded a “military cooperation agreement”.
In June 2021, Sudan and Egypt undertook military exercises “amid tension with Ethiopia.”
5. I believe the June 2021 Sudan-Egypt military exercise is nothing more than a proxy U.S.-E.U.-NATO operation to invade Ethiopia and restore the TPLF to power which will in turn turn over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam to Egypt in exchange for restoration of the TPLF to power.
6. I believe the U.S.-E.U., NATO and Egypt are currently assisting and financing the TPLF terrorists in Sudan masquerading as “refugees” to form the front of the assault force to give the impression that it is not them who are leading the war.
7. I expect the U.S.-E.U. and NATO’s principal strategic objective will be to open land and air access to the TPLF from Sudan and Djibouti. In doing so, the U.S. and E.U. will try to justify their air war as a humanitarian effort to open road and air access to prevent famine and genocide.
8. I believe the U.S., E.U. and NATO will use their air power to provide arms and weapons to the TPLF.
After all the damage and destruction, Samantha Power will do exactly what she did in the Syrian case!!!
“As for the barbarous results that will occur in Tigray as a result of an air war on Ethiopia, Power will plead ignorance as usual: “Whatever our sincerity, we could hardly expect to have a crystal ball when it came to accurately predicting outcomes in places where the culture was not our own.”
It is not the size of the dog in the fight that determines the outcome of the fight, it is the size of the fight in the underdog
We Ethiopians are the underdogs facing the meaner-than-junkyard-dogs of U.S., E.U. and NATO and their lapdogs Egypt and Sudan.
We Ethiopians are surrounded on all sides. But I am not concerned in the least.
During the American revolutionary war, John Parker, a colonial farmer, patriot and captain who commanded the militia at the Battle of Lexington (the very first engagement between American revolutionaries and British colonialists) on April 19, 1775 said “Don’t fire unless fired upon, but if they mean to have a war, let it begin here.”
John Parker’s message is just as good for Ethiopian Patriots!
Mahatma Gandhi said, “Strength does not come from physical capacity. It comes from an indomitable will.”
Air power does not win wars. Indomitable will does.
Exhibit A. Carpet bombing of Vietnam.
Exhibit B: Carpet bombing of Afghanistan.
Exhibit C: Carpet bombing of Iraq.
Exhibit D: Carpet bombing of Yemen.
Carpet bombing of Ethiopia?
BREAKING ETHIOPIA WITH CARPET BOMBING: DON’T EVEN THINK ABOUT IT!
In 1969, Nixon’s National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger saidI, “ refuse to believe that a little fourth-rate power like North Vietnam doesn’t have a breaking point.” as he instructed his aides to develop a punitive military strategy that would coerce North Vietnam into negotiating on American term
That is exactly what Susan Rice, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, Samantha Power, Jeffrey Feltman, and other lower level bureaucratic flunkies are saying today of Ethiopia. “We refuse to believe that a fourth-rate power like Ethiopia does not have a breaking point.”
Since November 2020, Susan Rice, Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan have been openly and publicly looking for Ethiopia’s breaking point.
But Ethiopia does not break.
Ethiopia will never break.
Ethiopia will never breakup.
Ethiopia will never breakdown.
Ethiopia will never breakaway.
Ethiopia will stand proud and tall no matter what the Rice-Biden administration and its European Union lackeys do!
Ethiopia is like the bamboo tree.
Ethiopia will sway against tornadic winds.
Ethiopia will bend against the westerlie winds.
Ethiopia will bow and yaw against the ferocious winds, BUT IT WILL NOT BREAK.
Ethiopia will roll with the punches as the Rice-Biden administration and the E.U. unleash their sanctions the likes of which the world has never seen.
Hear ye, hear ye, Samantha Power, Susan Rice, Antony Blinken and the whole lot of you war mongers:
In the Present Crisis facing Ethiopia, you can fight tooth and nail to restore wrong (TPLF) to the throne.
You can spread your lies and your disinformation on Ethiopia.
You can impale the truth about Ethiopia’s righteous actions to preserve its sovereignty on the scaffold.
You and the Democrats in Congress can pass all the resolutions you want.
You can dupe Brother Congressman Gregory Meeks and Sister Congresswoman Karen Bass to do your dirty work.
You can “encourage, cajole, push, and prod the whole system: State Department, Treasury Department, Defense Department” to stampede Ethiopia.
You can do whatever the hell you wanna do.
But know that the scaffold sways the future, and, behind the dim unknown,
Standeth within the shadow, a HIGHER POWER that keeps watch above his own ETHIOPIA.
ETHIOPIA TODAY. ETHIOPIA TOMORROW. ETHIOPIA FOREVER!
TO BE CONTINUED….
Prof. Alemayehu G. Mariam teaches political science at California State University, San Bernardino, Commentator at Almariam Blog, and a regular contributor to Zehabesha.com