A political Space Serves the Country and the Authorities themselves | by Nagessa Oddo Dube

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Nagessa Oddo Dube

On the call by Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) to talk with opposition:
*Personally, I am pessimistic about any negotiation with EPRDF. I was 10 when EPRDF came to power in 1991. I have heard lies and fabrications the whole 26 years they remained in power. They think they can fool the people all the time. They think might is power and it must always come from the barrel of the gun. So, in my opinion, this negotiation is part of fooling the people and moving on. I think it’s just another game for the Marxist-Leninist-Maoists.
That’s being my personal belief, let me assume other scenarios and give my advice:
Whereas, EPRDF jails its opponents and dissidents, controls the press, and takes away everyone’s civil liberties, weakening the opposition as much as possible;
Whereas, it controls the judiciary and civic society including religious institutions;
Whereas, it uses the Anti-Terrorism Proclamation to charge all dissenting personalities;
Whereas, the proclamation is so broad that it enables anyone to be accused of terrorism.( For example, anyone who “causes serious damage to property” while attempting to advance a political cause is considered to be a terrorist);
Whereas, it restricts the right to freedom of expression in accusing journalists who write any criticism against the government of encouraging terrorism;
Whereas, it commits severe torture and arbitrary detention and detainees are not brought before the court for months, rather are often held in military camps which are not recognized as acceptable detention facilities by the Ethiopian legal system;
Whereas, more than 50,000 journalists, bloggers, students, opposition party leaders and members and others are in jail for exercising freedom of expression,
Whereas, the communist TPLF, led by the Maoist ideals, thinks these actions make it strong and ensures its grip on power;
It must recognize the following:
Those acts can keep it in power for the time being but will not keep it in power for long.
Allow me to quote the famous words of Bob Marley::
“You can fool some people sometimes
But you can’t fool all the people all the time”
It would be dangerous for the authorities if a popular uprising were to begin. If there is organized opposition and established institutions, they can lead the masses and minimize the destruction to the nation and the authorities. Mubarak/Egypt can be an example. Though he extremely weakened the opposition, Egypt had better civic, religious, and judicial institutions. That is why Mubarek was not killed as Gaddafi. He was brought to court. That was why Egypt was not torn down like Libya. It at least survived, though it was made instable due to different internal and external interests. Although both Egypt and Libya were authoritarian systems, their fates were different.
Considering this, my advice to EPRDF is to remember that when you weaken opposition, you are creating masses of people who do not have anyone to listen to. The Ethiopian people today have no trust in courts or the judiciary because you corrupted it. They have no civic organizations to rely on because you destroyed them. They have no military or defensive force they feel serve their best interests or can be relied upon. The more you kill and detain liberal and non-violent people, you encourage violence. During all these years your party has had power, you have repeatedly sought out and created violence believing you can be perpetually in control via military might. But there are no “eternal winners” in this world. When Rome ruled, it was glorious for a time, then it was defeated. Greece was glorious, then was defeated. The Byzantine Empire and many others followed the same course.
Your current path is a very dangerous one. EPRDF, You are like a suicide bomber! If people seek to kill you like Libyans did to Gaddafi, there will be no one who can protect you even for the purpose of bringing you to justice.
Please do the right thing now! Not for the sake of opposition, not even for the sake of the Ethiopian people, just for the sake of your own future, for the sake of the future of your children, and for the sake of the future of the tribe you came from, if you really care for them.
I don’t think you want to see the “States of Nature” the 17th century English philosopher Thomas Hobbes described as; war of all against all, where there is neither personal property nor injustice since there is no law. I don’t think you want to see another Somalia in East Africa…
Finally, please, for your own sake, be serious! የመጨረሻ ዕድላቹን ተጠቀሙ:: By all means negotiate with opposition leaders, provided you make real negotiations, not fake ones like you have done in the past; that is the only remaining option that can save both you and the country. ልቦና ይስጣችሁ::

5 Comments

  1. Aw, tɦis was an incredibly god post. Taқing the time аnd actual effort tо ϲreate ɑ verү gooɗ article… but whɑt ϲan ӏ say… I hesitate а
    whole lott aand don’t seem to get nearly ɑnything dοne.

  2. The Gambella region activists and concerned individuals from Gambella are voicing their concerns about “no peace, no war policy” and its repercussion on the overall development and investment opportunities in Gambella. The activists are concerned on their letter that the invaded province of Gambella, Ethiopia should get possible benefits and compensations from the federal government to recover from the calamitous damages it faced from South Sudanese officials who have stepped up their rhetoric against Ethiopia in what analysts see as a crucial moment in the relations between the two countries. An official with South Sudan’s ministry of information recently said his government was not afraid of Ethiopia.
    Ethiopia has been looking at Juba with second thoughts lately after South Sudan’s embraced Egypt’s policy towards the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam [1]and the Nile water agreement.
    An official, who is a close aide to the information minister Michael Makuei, has said the government of South Sudan was not afraid of Ethiopia and that the country had nothing to explain, adding that the country would press on with its strategic relations with Egypt.
    “It’s a normal practice to look out for your own interests; all countries do that……. we are ‘not afraid’ of any country, be it within the region (Ethiopia) or beyond, I think our ambassador in Addis Ababa made it clear to them on Ethiopian Broadcasting Television that we do not have to explain anything on our diplomatic relations with other countries” said Atem Deng Makuac an official at the ministry of information in Juba
    Makuac’s statement comes just a day after the South Sudanese ambassador to Ethiopia was summoned on national television to explain President Kiir’s recent visit to Egypt and to dispel recent rumors that South Sudan and Egypt agreed on a “dirty deal” over Ethiopia’s building of a mega Dam on the river Nile.
    The official said the government in Juba would not back down from any deal with the Egyptian government due to their long standing relations.
    ማሳሰቢያ፡-
    የጋምቤላ ታጋች ህፃናት ለፖለቲካ ፎጆታ እየሆኑ ነው!
    ህፃናቶቻቸውን እና እንስሶችን እንደፈለጉ የደቡብ ሱዳን የሙርሌ ጎሳ አባላት የሚነጥቁባቸው ዞን ውስጥ ከፍተኛ ሹመኛ የሆነ ሰው ነው ያደረሰን።
    ሚስጥሩን በደረስንበት መረጃ መሠረት ገና ከዚህ በላይ የወረዳው ሰው ሁሉ ሊወሰድ ይችላል ይላል፡፡ ምክንያቶቹን እንዲህ ዘርዝሮ ልኮታል፡-
    1. ለም የእርሻ መሬት ከእኛ እስከ አጎራባች አለ ይህን በሚያርሱ የወያኔ ኢንቨስተሮች ለበርካታ አመታት ከህይወት እስከ ንብረት መስዋትነት አስከፍሏቸዋል።
    2. #ወያኔን ሊያሰጋ የሚችል ሁሉ እስካሁን በሙሉ ሃይል በየቦታው ባይንቀሳቀስም በወታደራዊ ጥናታቸው መሰረት ያሰጋልና ስለሚሉ እስከዛው እኛም የስጋት ምንጭ ተደርገን ስለምንቆጠርና ለጥቃትም በቀላሉ ተጋላጭ ስለሆንን ዘራችን የሚጠፋበት አደጋ ውስጥ ገብተናል።
    3. ከደቡብ ሱዳን ውሎገብ የፈለግነውን የጦር መሳርያና የእለት ፍጆታ ሸቀጥ ያለስጋት እናስገባ ነበር። ያንንም ለማስቀረትና እኛል ለመፍጀት ነው።
    4. የወያኔ ሴረኛ ቡድን ከደቡብ ሱዳን ጋር በጥበብ በመመሳጠር በግጦሽ በማመሳሰል ምንም የማያውቀውን ህዝቡን እያስገደለ ነው።
    5. ለወረዳው ቅርብ በሆነ ሁኔታ የሠፈረው በትግራይ ኃላፊዎች ብቻ እንደፈለጉ የሚያዙት ልዮ ኃይል፣ ፌደራል ፖሊስ፣ ሽምቆች እንዲሁም መከላከያም አለ። የመጀመርያዋ ጥይት ሳትጮህ ለመከላከያ አዛዡ ተደውሎ ነበር እንደርሳለን ብለው አውቀው የውሃ ሽታ ሆነው ቀሩ፡፡
    6. ቢያንስ በቅርብ ርቀት አስተማማኝ የአየር ኃይል አለ። ታድያ በትንሽ ደቂቃ ብቻ እስከ ወረዳው መድረስ ይችል ነበር ግን አልሆነም። ለምን አትበሉ። ዘር ፍጅቱ በወያኔ የተቀነባበረ ነው።
    7. መሬታችንን ያለግብር የሚያርሱት የትግራይ ዜጎች ቢሆኑ ኖሮ የተጠቁት 57ቱ ወገኖቻችን ሳይመለሱ ተጨማሪ 16 ህፃናት መወሰዳቸው ሌሎችም ሊሞቱ ቀርቶ ደቡብ ሱዳንን በጨፈለቀ ነበረ፡፡
    8. #በመጨረሻም የሱማሊያን አልሻባብ ተሻግሮ ለመግጠም ሰራዊት የሚልክ እንዲሁም አልፎ ላይቤርያና ሱዳን ሄዶ ሰላም አስከብራለሁ እያለ ኃይል የሚገብር የወንጀለኞች ጥርቅም ለራሳችን ዜጎች መሆን ሳይችል ይብስ ብሎ በአስቸኳይ አዋጅ ስም ሰላማዊ ህዝብ ሲያሸብርና ሲጨፈጭፍ ማየት እጅግ ያማል።
    9. አሁን እኛም በስለናል። በተለይ የእኛን ወጣቶች በገፍ ለውትድርና የማያውቁትን ገጠራማው አካባቢ የሚመለምለው እንዳይሳካ ተግተን እየሰራን ነው። ለነፃነታችን መከበር ደቡብ ሱዳንን ሣይሆን ህዋህትን/ወያኔን ከአጋሮች ጋር ተደራጅተን እንታገላለን፡፡
    ድል ለጭቁኑ ህዝብ!
    በማለት ይህን ብርቱ ሚስጥር ለኢትዮጵያ ሕዝብና ለአለም እንዲታወቅ በአስቸኳይ ይድረስልን ብሏል።
    አሁን ይድረስልን ብሏል !

  3. Obbo Nagessoo, Idont think Tplf hear your advice.
    Firstly you missed the point When you accept this shameless group as real negotiater. No need Of negotiation in this time when there is no real opposition.

  4. Obbo Nagessoo, Idont think Tplf hear your advice.
    Firstly you missed the point When you accept this shameless group as real negotiater. No need Of negotiation in this time when there is no real opposition.you still have to learn the nature of your enemies.. You cant preach peace full struggle any more. Peace and negotiation didn’t work with Tigre.get to know bro.

  5. ከእንድ የእፋኞች፣ የገዳዮችና የዘራፊዎች ወንጀለኛ ቡድን ጋር እንዴት መደራደር ይቻላል? ዎያኔዎች ከናዚዎች ያላነሰ ጭፍጨፋ የፈጸሙ እንደመሆናቸው መጠን፣ ያቀን ሲመጣልን ለዓለም ፍርድቤት ተላልፈው ፍርዳቸውን መቀበለ ይኖርባቸዋል። ዓምላካችን ይርዳን። ኣሜን!

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